8 REASONS FOR HOPE 8 REASONS FOR CAUTION

 

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8 REASONS FOR HOPE 8 REASONS FOR CAUTION

Ok 3-1 is good especially after that opening night debacle but how good are we? Well, we’re 0-1 against teams winning teams and 2-0 against losing teams, and 1-0 against 500 teams. How will it be when we play the Rams or the Chiefs or the Saints or the Packers again? Hard to say.

Do we need Trubisky to win? Is Chase Daniel more accurate? Doesn’t it seem the Bears defense has improved from last year?

Like in the Big Lebowski, lots of ins, lots of outs lots of strands in old duder’s head. 

I wouldn’t take Oakland for granted and I know Jon Gruden will be up for it as much as Khalil Mack, and then we go into the bye week which will give Trubisky some time to heal. 

All is good. Isn’t it?

REASONS FOR HOPE

  1. Even when compared to the past Bear defenses this one looks great.
  2. Even with key players out the defense looks great.
  3. The pick up of Ha Ha Clinton Dix looks like we stole one from the Packers, than the usual other way around.
  4. On the offensive side doesn’t Allen Robinson look like he makes every catch he dives for?
  5. David Montgomery is a bruiser and I like how he always knows how to fall forward and make guys miss.
  6. I like how for the most part we’ve protected the ball on the offensive side.
  7. Eddy Piniero!!! Way better than we could’ve hoped for at this point.
  8. To not have Roquan Smith or Akiem Hicks and still do what we did to Minnesota is way impressive.

REASONS FOR CAUTION

  1. At some point you have to take shots down the field and spread out the defense, we haven’t really.
  2. Nagy’s play calling sometimes looks a little questionable, like running Chase Daniel when we had no backup QB behind him.
  3. Great teams destroy worse teams, we let them hang around at the end.
  4. Is this about as good as we can expect from Trubisky or does he still have upside?
  5. What happened to rolling Trubisky out more?
  6. Is a great defense alone enough to win a championship?
  7. From what I’ve seen Trubisky doesn’t know how to just get down when the play is a bust.
  8. So few passing TD’s in a pass dominated league is a bad sign.

 

PREDICTION——-BEARS 21 RAIDERS 14

 

DO YOU HAVE A FRIEND TO HAVE AN ONGOING GAME TEXT WITH?

 

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The best part of Sunday’s game aside from the W, the offense scoring a touchdown, and knowing we have a great defense, was texting back and forth with my friend Buster. 

Buster is a made up name, to protect his real identity. He’s a rather famous Chicago lawyer (I think famous anyway) but his running commentary is pretty bang on.

Just a simple cut and paste here with some touch ups and edits.

ME:    That packer game was so tough to watch……even I nodded in and out of it. Reminded me of The Twilight Zone.

BUSTER:   Horrible.  So disappointing.  I am really starting to hate Nagy’s play calling after really liking it last year.  Bad mix last week, no balance, no plan. 

ME:    Exactly!! Me too. You have to take your shots to stretch the field. Reminds me of Lovie’s teams—-no turnovers no wins.

BUSTER:    Yep.

ME:    Remember Bob Parsons? Used to be the coffin corner was the 20 and in.

BUSTER:    I do remember him. Was our punter for a long time. 

ME:     I do notice Cohen running north and south which is about time and Montgomery getting a lot more touches.

BUSTER:    Mix does look better this week. There goes Trubisky again. He really is not very good. Overthrowing wide open receivers. 

ME:   Yeah I know. What happened to drafting a QB every year? And Pace didn’t need to trade up one spot!!!

BUSTER:    Agree! I think he could have got Trubisky late in the 1st round.  If he drafted Mahomes we would be headed to the Super Bowl. 

ME:    At some point you gotta cut bait but not there yet.

BUSTER:   Yeah he is adequate and we don’t have better.  There he goes again. 10 yards over the head of his target.  No downfield touch at all. 

ME:    Ugh. 

BUSTER:  Someone needs to call Pace out at this point.  

ME:    I know. Something is really off about Nagy’s play calling.

BUSTER:   Especially when we get near the red zone, which was a strength last year. Think I am going to stop watching. This is just awful. 

ME:    It’s an old brand.

BUSTER:  Oh my lord. 7 points. Who would believe?

ME:  Patterson looked pretty good on that play.

BUSTER:  Yeah. They called that play at the perfect time. Unlike last week. 

ME:   Yeah. I liked Patterson before they signed him, too.

BUSTER:   Great speed. You’d think he would be on the field more.  

ME:    Yeah exactly another Nagy kind of gap.

BUSTER:   It’s weird. None of his past teams used him a lot. Wonder what is up with that? 

ME:   I think it may have been his returns I was thinking of.

BUSTER:   Yeah.

ME:   That roughing was a horrible call.

ME:    God Mack is good.

BUSTER:    Agree on both.  Good that we held.  

ME:    You know I think the NFL has a lot vested in the Bears doing well …..I always have really.

BUSTER:   At least competitive. 

ME:   There’s so many fans…. 

BUSTER:    Guess who….25-36, 383 YDS, 4 TD?

ME:    Your guy.

BUSTER:   Mahomes. Is one TD pass too much to ask?

ME:   Trubisky 11-17 and 79 yards no TD’s.

BUSTER:   Not even a first down after Denver was on the field for that long drive. 

ME:    All I can say is Trent Dilfer and Brad Johnson won Super Bowls. 

That’s the best I got.

BUSTER:   Yeah. That was a different NFL when low scoring teams could win. Our offense looks broken.  

ME:   Yeah even the worst teams’ offenses don’t look this bad…….

Hit that oxygen guys!

BUSTER:   Our offense killed our D. That 3 and out in the 4th quarter after a long drive was inexcusable. 

ME:   Great call by Fangio going for it on 4th.

BUSTER:   On the road at high altitude……….Fuller!!!!’

ME:    OMG! 

BUSTER:   What a time for that. 

ME:   I wanna say it’s about time but that would assume you can really control such things.

BUSTER:   Great interception.

ME:   Yeah if the defense can force turnovers it’s a whole different thing

Btw….great ongoing game texts. 

BUSTER:   Yeah….Needed one more first down. 

ME:   Yeah no guts. No confidence in Trubisky……Defense is gassed

Are you watching? 

BUSTER:   Yeah but disgusted. 

ME:    I love that he would go for two. 

BUSTER:    Can’t believe we called time out on 4th down. We do the most stupid things from a coaching perspective. Really down on Nagy. 

ME:   Yeah me too. I picked em to lose in my blog.

BUSTER:   Good. We deserve to lose. Hope they go after Nagy now. I am done watching for the year. Not kidding. I don’t want them to win. 

ME:   Yeah. 

BUSTER:   Game over.

ME:   Damn was that lucky.

BUSTER:   Feel good for Piniero. Can’t believe he made that. 

ME:   Yeah feel great for Piniero. You know one last note……..when Trubisky gets out of the pocket he’s pretty good, no?

BUSTER:   Yeah. That was the first time they threw downfield all game.  That is what is so concerning.  The offensive game plan is awful.  They really need to get their act together, especially with such a great defense.

THOUGHTS ON LAST WEEK AND THISIMG_1214.jpg

 

LAST WEEK

The Bears/Packers game reminds me a lot of the proposition of spending one round in the ring with Mike Tyson (at any age) for 20 million dollars, or whatever ridiculous amount you want to attach. The money sounds good but the toll it would take just wouldn’t be worth it.

You get your hopes up. You get to thinking that you’re going to be rich. You get so primed that you can do it. 

And then you feel that first punch.

That’s what the season opener feels like. Like the Bears fans were stupid enough to believe they could get in the ring with Iron Mike.

What fool would ever get in the ring with Mike Tyson? Well, the same kind of fool that would spend hard earned time and money and even perhaps faith on thinking the Bears actually have a chance at winning it all.

I have to admit I thought they were going to kick butt, and the thing that breaks your heart is that the defense looks even better. When does Aaron Rodgers ever get held to 10 points? ( I looked it up. Not often. )

Ok it was a dud. Bad play calling, decision making, execution. What happened to running the football a little bit? David Montgomery looks like he might be a player.

Maybe it wasn’t that bad. The last time the Bears lost 10-3 to the Packers they went to the NFC Championship game (in 2010) and lost to the Packers too.

Also, one last thing. Be easy on Mitch, but not too easy. If he lays a dud this season he’s gotta be gone. It’s that simple. His Super Bowl window is open right now. The more he plays without winning the more unlikely it becomes. 

And Mitch is the key. If he doesn’t have a great season then the defense has to be so monumentally bad ass that they are compared to Bears or Ravens as one of the all time great defenses and just carry the team. Not likely. They’re good but are they that good? 

No, Mitch needs to play error free ball and also take some chances. Does anyone remember him really attacking the middle of the field, either with his arm or feet? Good thing it’s a long season, but man what a way to start.

THIS WEEK

Vic Fangio and the Denver Broncos are going to be a handful. The smart money is going to be on Denver. The defense is good and the offense will be just enough.

Broncos 17 Bears 10

UGH!!!

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I was all set to deliver this rampage against Matt Nagy. How he got outcoached by Doug Pederson. How the decision to keep Cody Parkey on the roster came back to bite him in the ass. How he decided not to get Tarik Cohen involved in the offense when the guy is his number one threat. How he seemed to get really conservative when the very thing that got him there in the first place was his willingness to take chances.

Then something occurred to me and I fell in a deep sleep thinking about how many days until pitchers and catchers report for spring training.

The Bears were never supposed to be this good, this first year under the Matt Nagy regime. I went to look up 2018 NFL season record predictions, randomly found Sports Illustrated, and a writer in SI who picked the Bears picked to go 4-12 and the Eagles to go 12-4. They also had the Vikings at 13-3 and the Packers at 12-4. Most places had them finishing in last place.

in SI in June they said

The Bears got better at crucial positions they had to get better at this offseason. Chicago brought in Taylor Gabriel, Allen Robinson and Trey Burton to help their second-year quarterback Mitch Trubisky. The offensive line took a big hit losing guard Josh Sitton and the defense, while improved with Roquan Smith at linebacker, still needs to find a pass rush. It may take one more year for this group to gel.

Granted it was before the team got Khalil Mack but the point is that they got considerably better than how they looked on paper with a first year head coach.

They other thing that is incredibly encouraging is that they’re a young team. Five years ago they were ranked 29th in the league with an average age of 26. 8 and this year they’re ranked 10th with an average age of 25.7, the same as the Eagles and the Packers.

Ryan Pace did what he said he was going to do, he made the team younger, which made the team better.

Just look at what’s coming—-Roquan Smith, 21, James Daniels 21, Bilal Nichols 22, Tarik Cohen 23, Mitchell Trubisky 24, Anthony Miller 24, Jordan Howard 24. All their Pro Bowl defenders——Eddie Jackson 26, Kyle Fuller 26, Khalil Mack 27, Akiem Hicks 29 are all under 30. 

Saw an interesting article   

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-coaches-and-qbs-should-divorce-after-five-years-of-not-winning/

on 538 last year about how the window for new coaches and their QB’s is about five years. Of the 31 head coaches to win at least one super bowl, 27 of them won it within the first years of that team.

Jim McMahon was drafted in ’82 the same year Mike Ditka started coaching the Bears. It took them four years and they finally did it. 

Some other pillars on that team—-Walter Payton drafted in ’75. Hampton in ’79, Mike Singletary in ’81, Richard Dent in ’83, The point is it took some time.

But not too much time. In the history of Chicago Bear coaches only Ditka and Lovie Smith made had multiple playoff appearances. Ditka made it to the playoffs 7 times and Lovie Smith 2. 

Jack Pardee made it to the playoffs once, Neil Armstrong once, Dave Wannstedt once, Dick Jauron once. They were all fired soon after.

Another big point is that a team often catches fire one year only to revert back to being a mediocre team the next. There are very few Sean McVay’s who was 11-5 last year and then was 13-3 this year. That will be the challenge for Matt Nagy. Can he improve on an already incredible year? Or will it prove to be an outlier, a fluke, something he won’t be able to reproduce?

Another thing about the Bears offense that showed promise is that they have a lot of guile and at times look really competent. In the Eagles game they came back when they had to (the last drive notwithstanding). 

You hope that as Trubiksy grows more comfortable in clutch situations when the game is on the line, and that Nagy starts to have more trust in him and as an offense they can really start to control the ball when they have to. Most Super Bowl winning teams have offenses who control the ball, make big plays, and score a lot of points.

One last thought. Like a lot of fans I thought this could’ve been the year, but I think something is missing on the offensive side of the ball. A LeVeon Bell or Kareem Hunt kind of back I think is needed. Somebody great. Somebody who is a difference maker. An All Pro. For Trubisky to be that great player he has to be, he’ll need great support. 

But the number of throws that should’ve been picked off yesterday and really the whole season, leave the judgment of how good he is still way up in the air. The clock is ticking. Unless he gets really bad, he’ll have about 2-3 years to prove it.

It all stings with that typical Chicago Bear disappointment. The truth of the matter is that to be a Chicago Bear fan is a difficult proposition. In fact it’s really fu*&ing hard being a Chicago Bears fan. They’re an enormously mediocre franchise trying to sell a championship team to a hungry fan base. 

There are franchises like the Steelers, and the Niners, and the Giants, and the Patriots, and the Packers, and then there are franchises like the Bears. The difference is so palpable. The expectations are from legitimately different sides of town and walks of life. How do you change a culture like that without taking a lot of risks?

36 days until pitchers and catchers report.

108 days until the NFL draft.

204 days until Bourbonnais training camp.

UGH! 

Good bye 2018 Bears it was fun.

It’s already taking too long.

JANUARY RELEVANT!!!

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The Bears are in the playoffs and a lot of things are going through my mind. In no particular order——

How different the playoff games feel. The way the crowd can’t seem to contain itself with so much on the line.

Matt Nagy asked the fans to be particularly noisy.

A lot of writers like to play the game of who would you rather play, figuring that the weaker opponents, or opponents the team matches up well against will make it easier to get to and win the Super Bowl.

I disagree. A great team will beat other great teams no matter what the record. If they have to go on the road to do it, so be it. A great team rises to the occasion and plays their best game against another great team. A great team wants to play another great team. 

A great team will have a bunch of ultra competitive guys, too. Guys that scream and kick and scratch on each play. That play with an edge, even borderline nasty. They block well and tackle well. They believe so much in themselves no matter what. They want to help other guys on the team, too. They want to lead the team. They want a group of guys to lead the team. Everybody buys into it. Everybody believes it.

And then of course great players have to play great. Not only the great players, but also fair and good players. Some might even become famous with how they distinguish themselves in the big games.

When I hear athletes who win, they say things like nobody gave it to them, they had to take it. They earned it.

When picking whose going to win a tournament a lot of handicappers will pick a team that is on fire. That has a lot of momentum and winning a lot of games as they go into the playoffs.

This makes a lot of sense to me. Some recent Super Bowl winners that got hot as the season drove on—-The 2013 Seahawks were 9-2 in their last 11, the 2014 Patriots were 5-2 in their last 7, the 2016 Patriots were 7-1 in their last 8, the 2017 Eagles were 5-2 in their last 7.

This year’s Eagles are 5-1 in their last 6 and this year’s Bears are 9-1 in their last 10. Something’s gotta give.

If the Bears are fortunate enough to beat the Eagles they’ll go on to L.A. to play the Rams. I think they’re better than the Rams. I will also be rooting for whoever the winner of Cowboys/Seahawks is as they would then travel to New Orleans to play the Saints. It’s hard not to look ahead.

Three times the Bears have faced the Eagles in the postseason. In the 1979 playoffs they lost 27-17 on the road, in the 1988 fog bowl playoff they won 20-12 at home, and in 2001 they lost 33-19 at home. 

The three quarterbacks that started those respective games and their QB ratings? Mike Phipps, with a QB rating of 30.1, Mike Tomczak, with a rating of 56.7 and Jim McMahon who also played in that game had a rating of 75.7 and Jim Miller who started had a rating of 31.7 until he got hurt and then Shane Matthews had a rating of 17.9.

No matter how good the defense is, and those teams in the 80’s had some really great defenses, you need clean QB play. Is Trubisky poised for a clean game against the Eagles?

Everything also seems to get magnified. If a team is up by 3 points it feels like 7, 7 feels like 13, 13 feels like 20. One turnover in your own zone feels like the whole game has changed. Even the home team QB is asking for quiet because the fans are so insanely pumped up they can’t contain their own jubilation. 

The ’85 team I remember how the fans kind of took over. One long big loud scream to bring the snowflakes. 

Another part of all of this is confidence. A confident player isn’t so nervous that the jitters affect his game. He’s emotional, he’s got the right attitude, but he plays within himself. He’s totally respecting his opponent, but he’s so sure he’s going to prevail. Sometimes you don’t need facts or evidence or a compelling argument. All you need is a hunch. A feeling can be greater than anything.

Can Trubisky play like that? Will he not be asked to do too much? Can the Bears stay in the lead as they have in most of the games they’ve won? Can they not play coming from behind? 

How is Eddie Jackson’s foot feeling? How strong are the meds? Can he block out the pain? Is 60% of Eddie Jackson better than the next man up, Deon Bush?

I was listening to longtime Bear reporter Hub Arkush on the WSCR, the score earlier today and he said Khalil Mack is having a year as good as Lawrence Taylor ever had. Pretty rare air, he said. 

Can Khalil Mack simply take the game over?

I was listening to Dan Bernstein on The Score and he said that Bear fans don’t know how to feel about how good a QB is because they don’t know what one is. They can’t recognize it. Great point.

I thought Nick Foles deserved to start this year and I think he’s great. Anybody that beats Tom Brady in the Super Bowl deserves to be a QB 1. 

It’s all got me thinking about mountains and man. Man was meant to rise. He visualizes himself ascending. Women too, of course. We were born to test ourselves. The great ones are never satisfied with being just good. 

The mountain is the symbol for all that. It has different sizes for geological reasons, to be sure but also has different sizes for motivational ones. 

Somewhere on a desk, maybe there’s a list. Mount Fuji—-12.3 feet. Matterhorn—-16.9. Kilimanjaro—-19.3. Denali—-20.3. Mount Everest—-29. 

Somewhere in this Chicago organization, on a desk or in a locker or locker room the Eagles are a mountain to be challenged and will prove just how high these 2018 Bears will be allowed to climb.

THAT LUCKY OLD SUN

 

IMG_0928.jpgTHAT LUCKY OLD SUN

Up in the mornin’, out on the job

Work like the devil for my pay

But that lucky old sun got nothin’ to do

But roll around heaven all day

with music by Beasley Smith and words by Haven Gillespie.

 

Apologies for missing the past couple of weeks and not getting this out sooner, but I wanted to get it right.

My dad was evicted out of his home shortly after the housing market collapsed in 2008 and with his savings completely ravaged and with nowhere to stay for the winter of 2010 he stayed with me at my apartment in Milwaukee.

I remember the year well because the Bears were playing great playoff caliber football. Julius Peppers was on that team with Brian Urlacher and Lance Briggs and that defense was really good. 

He would never have asked me if he could stay at my place. Ever. He would’ve just probably died. He wasn’t afraid of dying. Often he would say to me, “don’t ever get old.” Or he also liked to say, “you drink and then you die.”

He was like an old buffalo that was about to get picked off from the herd. You didn’t tell him where to go, but instead showed him the direction and hoped he went there.

There was also something fitting about him coming to stay at my place. It made me feel good to help. Like I was fulfilling some kind of ancient biblical and I’m not even biblical father/son pact. 

He had no real income except a social security check but he did have a summer home that he would never sell and owned outright. It was only for summers but he could stretch it and make it work for three seasons. He also knew workers that would give him discounts because he was in clear need of help and had a kind of charm that people could love. Also the place really needed help.

I was helping him too. Giving him what I could and making sure he had supplies and a car in case of an emergency, even though he could barely walk. 

The Bears were playing everybody tough the second half of the year, with the sole exception of New England who they got destroyed by at home 36-7 in the snow and cold.

I saw the game with my dad at my apartment and will never forget him turning to me and saying, “they’re a very mediocre team.”

My dad was a pretty severe alcoholic, there was no talking him out of drinking. There was no interventions, though we tried. No showing him another way. No shaming him with the truth. He was unshamable.

He was divorced after 25 years or so of being married and turned into a bottles by the bed kind of drunk. Although he was always a huge drinker. 

I tried my hardest to help and nobody would’ve blamed me if I would’ve just left him to his own devices. There is a destruction of self that happens with old age drinkers. It has no mercy and comes for everyone no matter how well they manage it.

He had lost his driver’s license a long while back because of driving under the influence and he never completed the court requirements. That’s when I knew things were going downhill fast.

There’s some who will help a hard luck story but most don’t. I did. And for that whole winter we watched a relevant Bear team in December, two home playoff games in January, and Bull games and Blackhawk games after that.

The Bear games were kind of a godsend and they always have been to me, and when they’re good it’s amazing what they can do to help a broken heart.

I really liked having him over, too. I could give back to him the way he gave to me. Instead of him buying the chip and dip and burgers and dogs and chinese and pizza and ribs——it was me.

And I could make sure we only had cokes. The whole 5-6 months he stayed with me I think we might have had 20 beers between us. Something about the holidays makes it hard for me to not drink at least a little. So we had a few beers at Thanksgiving, Christmas, New Years, St. Patrick’s Day, Easter. 

But he wasn’t able to cook for himself, clean for himself, carry any bags of groceries for himself. He had bone on bone arthritis in both knees and still wouldn’t go see a doctor. Hated the doctor. Hated the whole idea of doctors and hospitals and operations. No teeth, no money, barely walking, no driver’s license, it was bad.

Soon he would be in a nursing home and it was a great relief when he was but also a great sadness to see him in his final and most weak and helpless state.

I would make sure they would get the Bear games on the TV in his nursing home room. I also would make sure he had the best movie collection any nursing home resident in the history of United States nursing homes would ever have.

I would also send him bbq and augratin potatoes from Carson’s Ribs. Because he lost all his teeth, they would kind grind everything together for him. He loved those cheesy potatoes.

I would go see him regularly, Bring him milkshakes and burgers, too. He had a weakness for Reese’s Peanut Butter Cups. Anything that he wanted I would get. I wouldn’t have to worry about him anymore but I still would. 

I even brought in an old and dear college friend when they said he didn’t have much longer to live. When his friend arrived and realized that they were allowing us to drink whisky in the nursing home he said, “this changes everything.”

For those of you wondering how a nursing home could let a severe alcoholic anywhere near a bottle, it’s because he was already so far gone at that point and in hospice care, and in hospice care whatever the patient wants the patient gets. 

His face kind of pruned when he tasted the whisky after years of not having any. He wasn’t really drinking it either, but kind of lost in its aroma.

I would write a letter to the nursing home after he died which got read to the entire staff. I know it worries a lot of people who know their parents are probably going to need major help some day and how they’re going to manage can be a great big burden. Everyone knows what a complicated burden health care is, especially in this country.

Despite the fact that the state of Wisconsin has some nasty politics, there’s so many people who go out of their way to help you, especially when it’s about health care. Many people regardless of party affiliation realize that everyone needs to be covered.

It was a big burden for me and he was a big burden for me. But in my family we weren’t allowed to complain too much about our problems, or look for that shoulder to cry on. Everybody was too busy telling everybody else to get out of the way.

But there was a few things we could come together on, and watching the Bears was one of them. The great teams of the 80’s was like understanding Shakespeare for the first time. Or beholding the Grand Canyon. Or being lucky enough to see the moon and stars in the Milky Way at night.

You think that’s maybe a little over the top? It wasn’t for my family. In my family we yelled and screamed and ate and drank. Those playoff losses to Washington and San Francisco hurt. Not as much as real hurt, but they definitely hurt.

When I thought of my dad watching the Bears at my place I thought of how much fun we had watching games together during the 70’s and 80’s.

We also saw a lot of games in the 90’s and 2000’s, and we saw a lot of games in Wisconsin, too.

Watching and rooting for the Bears in Wisconsin is a lot like being a fugitive from the law. There are many of us Harrison Fords hiding in plain sight. Fighting to prove our innocence in the great land of green and gold. Smiling when a Packers loss means the Bears gain.

But the Packers have so thoroughly dominated the Bears over the past 25 years, even my dad had to say they were by far the better team and organization. 

He also liked to say Brett Favre would pump fake more in one game, than Bear quarterbacks did in the whole history of the franchise. 

He loved Aaron Rodgers and Clay Matthews in that 2010 season, too. He would root for the Packers in the Super Bowl when they played against the Steelers and won.

As crazy my dad got with all his drinking and problems, when the game was on he could turn into this kind of analytical mechanism that saw the game clearly and dispassionately.

I know he would like this Bears year a lot. The fact they got Khalil Mack would’ve made him over the top happy to see they had the balls to get such an outstanding player. The defense this year too is definitely championship worthy and he would’ve known why they’re so good.

And Nagy? Can we say the offense finally has some subtlety and guile?

And Trubisky? Well, there’s still a lot to prove, but the early indications are promising.

It’s really hard to be a Bears fan my dad would explain to me. Take a look someday at all the unmemorable Chicago Bear draft picks over the years https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/chi/draft.htm

With so many bad teams over the years, it makes the good years like this one really stick out that much more.

To hear my Packer fans complain about their team this year, because they’re not doing as well as they usually do, reminds of that woman with a big and juicy Virginia ham under her arm crying because she doesn’t have any bread. (Got the joke from The Sopranos)

But to know the Bears have a chance of winning the Super Bowl this year has put a little extra curdle in my call, a little squall in my scream. Maybe it’s contagious. Maybe it’s reaching all those dead relative Bear fans, the millions upon millions of them who finally have something better to do than simply roll around in heaven all day. 

5 REASONS WHY THE BEARS ARE WINNING

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RYAN PACE

Give him credit. Give him a lot of it. Give him holiday cheers of it. After swings and misses he seems to be getting better at his job. Better at picking the right coach. Better at drafting difference making players. Better at using free agency as a way to find difference making players and also players who can fill obvious needs. 

Just look at this list——Matt Nagy, Khalil Mack, Mitchell Trubisky, Tarik Cohen, Eddie Jackson, Allen Robinson, Anthony Miller, Roquan Smith. The list goes on and its impressive and its young and its really, really good. 

There are so many things that need to go right and Ryan Pace is a guy that makes sure it does.

I know New Orleans and Los Angeles, hell even the Green Bay Packers look like big mountains, but I don’t see why the Bears couldn’t make some loud noises in the playoffs.

MATT NAGY

It all starts with the coach and the way he implements his vision, gets people buying in it, and how they execute. 

John Madden always said you got to be authentic, because the players can spot a phony, and I think that may be his best quality. He’s a genuine dude and that helps players trust him. 

Plus the Bears finally look like a complete team. So many of their teams have always looked one sided. If only they had an offense, you can hear the Bear faithful whine. 

The fact that Nagy was a quarterback I think has really helped Trubisky. He’s gone from being an indecisive quarterback, to playing a game of pitch and catch. It really doesn’t have to be a complicated game. Hit the open guy, and if he’s not, scamper for some yards. 

Is it possible the Bears have an offense that can win a championship? If they do Nagy will become a legend and get all sorts of credit, as will a handful of players. One of the things I look for in a team is how good are the second and third string players. It says a lot about the coach when the whole roster is ready to play.

KHALIL MACK

Ok this was the ballsy move of the century. 

Word had it that the Packers were about to pull the trigger too and the Bears just out bid them. 

I mean could you imagine the Packers with Mack? People who say the Bears spent the farm to get him are ignoring the most important point. Mack is a once is a lifetime player. 

Every Super Bowl team always seems to have Hall of Fame type players on it, at least one or two and hopefully more. 

Is he at 100% yet? If he is I think that defense climbs a few more rungs on the ladder. When he’s a step quicker, he’s going to require a double team. That opens huge chances for everyone else on that line to get the quarterback. 

If they can pressure the quarterback with four they are going to be a handful come winter.

MITCHELL TRUBISKY

I keep thinking they did something to that offense. The team that just beat Arizona by two points is now seeing a confident decision maker in Trubisky. He looks better. Cooler. A cooler head to prevail whilst sitting in the hottest seat in professional sports. But he still makes some decisions where you just scratch your head.

He of course is the key. If he fails the team will fail, but if he has these kind of dominant performances, I don’t see why this team can’t win it all. Nick Foles doesn’t have a giant contract with 80 million dollars guaranteed, yet, but he did have a career day in the Super Bowl, and went throw for throw with the unmatchable brilliance of Tom Brady. 

Is Nagy getting him to play a little over his head, or is his ceiling still being set? Does he have the potential to be not just good but great? If he’s not great, even with that defense, I don’t see them winning it all. 

Also, does he have to run all the time and does he know how to slide?

INTANGIBLES

I could pick a lot of players in this last spot. The ones I named earlier, the whole defense, the whole offensive line, how about how good those playmakers have been? 

Something about confidence makes it impossible to keep it hidden. The world can’t help but notice it. 

I remember from my own competitive playing days how important it was to believe in yourself and in your team. It always seemed to me that intangible quality of belief was just as important as skill. They’re both critical don’t get me wrong, but guys who possess qualities like attitude, character, and enthusiasm always seem to be the guys holding the trophies up. 

Football is such a sport that demands you play with an edge about you, and this team is doing that. Finally some swag to back up the way you play on the field.

Happy Thanksgiving!